Interpreting Small Sample Sizes--Bayesian Estimators
It often happens in heads up sit and go that we have to make the most of the limited reads we have. One common situation is that the villain has opened his button some X out of N times. Our HUD says his opening frequency is X/N, but with low N this is of limited to no value. This article describes a method of using population tendencies to get an accurate estimate of a villain’s opening frequency, O, given X and N. With such a frequency we can put the villain on a range of hands. This will lead to better decision making.
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Loe edasi ›››
It often happens in heads up sit and go that we have to make the most of the limited reads we have. One common situation is that the villain has opened his button some X out of N times. Our HUD says his opening frequency is X/N, but with low N this is of limited to no value. This article describes a method of using population tendencies to get an accurate estimate of a villain’s opening frequency, O, given X and N. With such a frequency we can put the villain on a range of hands. This will lead to better decision making.
read more
Loe edasi ›››